The trends are pretty clear. All the exciting new applications are running in the browser, with application code in the cloud and the cell phone as the platform. Your cell phone will become your primary computer. I think in the near future there will be docking stations everywhere with a screen and a keyboard. You simply pull out your phone, plug it into the docking station, and instantly all your applications and data are available to you. The key is you get to decide which applications and data to keep resident on your phone, and which to keep in the cloud.This is what Don Dodge said in an interview and thats what I was thinking a day before. Only difference being he works at Google ( and comes from Microsoft) ...
My contention goes a bit beyond cell phones ... one needs to include the portable gaming devices and music players in this category of primary computer. It is just a factor of human-device engagement minutes. I see people maintaining at least two of these devices at any point of time. I am not too sure if convergence would really work that well in next 2 years so as to completely eliminate music player and gaming device out of the human device engagement realm.
